Re: What would make you believe?

On 12 Feb 2008 10:02:55 GMT, mcv <mcvmcv@[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> wrote:

:George W Harris <gharrus@[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> wrote:
:> On Mon, 11 Feb 2008 17:42:41 -0600, Wildepad <noreplies> wrote:
:> :On 11 Feb 2008 16:18:40 GMT, mcv <mcvmcv@[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> wrote:
:> :>Wildepad <noreplies> wrote:
:> :>> On Sun, 10 Feb 2008 18:57:41 -0800 (PST), Quadibloc
:> :>> <jsavard@[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> wrote:
:> :>> 
:> :>>>On Feb 9, 10:41 pm, Wildepad <noreplies> wrote:
:> :>>>
:> :>>>> What, if anything, could he say to convince you to spend a dollar
to
:> :>>>> play 'his' numbers for a $65,000,000 lottery?
:> :>>>
:> :>>>He wouldn't have to say much to convince me to do _that_, but if he
:> :>>>wanted something more serious, *then* he would have a big problem.
:> :>>>After all, the very slim possibility he is telling the truth is
enough
:> :>>>to improve the odds of winning the $65 million significantly.
:> :>> 
:> :>> Added to the fact that madmen are sometimes very lucky?
:> :>
:> :>Since when is that a fact?
:> :
:> :It's implied by so many of them surviving disasters that would kill a
:> :normal person. :)
:> 
:>        There's a selection bias there.
:
:Two options immediately spring to mind: surviving a disaster can
traumatise
:to the point of insanity, and madmen may be more likely to imagine a
:disaster and end up believing it.

	Madmen are more likely to be involved in 
disasters through actions of their own.
:
:
:mcv.
-- 
I'm not an actor, but I play one on TV!

George W. Harris  For actual email address, replace each 'u' with an 'i'