Which will be finished first?

I was thinking today about some of the novels I've been anticipating
for years.  I don't know that they'lll ever see the light of day, but
if they do, which of the following will occur first?

A)  _A Dance With Dragons_ by George R. R. Martin.

B) _A Method for Madness_ by David Gerrold

C) _The AI War_ by Daniel Moran

D) _The Last Dangerous Visions_ ed. Harlan Ellison

E) extinction of the human race.

I'm going with C), with E) a distinct possibility.

Are Martin or Gerrold still deluding themselves that they'll ever
finish their respective series'?  Every so often I go to their
websites and read about how they're making progress and have hundreds
of thousands of words finished and they're halfway done from last time
they gave an update.  It's like Xeno's Paradox for authors. 

I don't really understand what happened to Martin.  He seemed so in
control of the first three books.  Maybe he hit his head or something.
Gerrold and Ellison... yeah, not a surprise.

-David