Re: Oldest SF not necessarily most dated?

"Mike stone" <mwstone@[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> wrote in
news:69n5p5F32m5kpU1@[EMAIL PROTECTED]
 
>...
> But my favourite on this theme is a _Times_ article by the late
> Bernard Levin, which I read in August 1977. He not only
> predicted that the SU was headed for collapse, but suggested 14
> July 1989 (the bicentenary of the fall of the Bastille)  as a
> possible date for it. Not a bad shot. --

Though he emphasizes human rights as the driver, barely mentioning 
economics except insofar as crackdowns would be economically costly.  
He also predicted, if anything, a more peaceful breakup than happened 
(IIRC there *was* a seizure of broadcasting stations in Lithuania by 
the Soviet military, not to mention the August 1991 attempted coup in 
the USSR itself.)  But the basic prediction and the timetable were 
pretty accurate.

The piece was reprinted in 1993, and thence made it to the web:

<http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_m2751/is_n31/ai_
13991692/print>

or <http://shorterlink.com/?CAH30Z>

(I'd really be interested in seeing the 1977 reactions to the 
prediction: letters to the editor, op-ed responses, etc.)

Mike